Exelon (EXC) Analysis

This report is auto-generated by an AI stock research platform for informational purposes only. The content is for general information and research reference, and does not constitute financial advice. Data may lag or be incomplete. Always conduct your own research and consult qualified professionals before making any financial decisions. # [Qiltrack AI] Exelon Corp (EXC) 3-Minute Overview ### 🎯 Layer 1: 30-Second Key Takeaways > **💡 One-Sentence Summary** > > Simply put, Exelon is a large regulated U.S. utility that offers investors a mix of defensive cash flow, a solid dividend, and steady-but-not-exciting growth. > **📍 Basic Profile** > > Market Cap **$44.9 billion** · Utilities · NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET · Price **$43.91** > **⚡ 3 Things You Should Know** > > 1. 💰 Regulated Cash Machine: Exelon serves more than 10 million customers through regulated utilities, which usually means demand is relatively stable and cash flow is more predictable than in cyclical industries. > > 2. ⚠️ Balance Sheet Is the Main Watch Item: The dividend looks reasonable and earnings have been steady, but debt is meaningful—debt-to-equity of 1.74x and interest coverage of 2.55x mean this is not a “stress-free” balance sheet if rates stay higher for longer. > > 3. 📈 Steady, Not Explosive: The stock trades at about 16.2x earnings with a 3.8% dividend yield, so the market is treating Exelon more like an income-and-stability name than a high-growth story. > **🎯 Quick Health Check** > > | Dimension | Rating | Details | > |-----------|--------|---------| > | Profitability | Medium✋ | Net margin 11.41%, decent for a utility but not standout | > | Growth Rate | Steady📈 | 3-year revenue growth 8.34%, EPS growth 7.55% | > | Financial Health | Moderate💛 | Debt-to-equity 173.9%, current ratio 0.92 | > | Valuation | Fair | PE 16.23x | --- ### 📋 Layer 2: 2-Minute Deep Dive #### 📊 How Does This Company Make Money? **Business Model in One Sentence:** Exelon runs regulated electricity transmission and distribution utilities, making money by delivering power to customers and earning approved returns through regulated rates. **Revenue Breakdown:** | Business | Share | Trend | Comment | |----------|-------|-------|---------| | Regulated utility operations | [Data unavailable] | → | This is the core business and the main reason earnings tend to be stable | | Other / non-core activities | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | Not enough segment detail provided | **Profitability Metrics:** | Metric | Value | Ranking | Interpretation | |--------|-------|---------|----------------| | Gross Margin | 40.43% | Average | Healthy for a utility, shows decent operating structure | | Net Margin | 11.41% | Average | Profitable, but this is more “steady compounder” than “super-profitable machine” | | ROE | 9.87% | Average | Reasonable, though not high enough to suggest exceptional capital efficiency | --- #### 📈 How's the Growth? **Growth Assessment:** Steady Growth | Metric | Latest | vs Last Year | Trend | |--------|--------|--------------|-------| | Revenue Growth | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | | Profit Growth | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | **Growth Quality:** > What’s interesting is that Exelon’s 3-year revenue growth of 8.34% and 3-year EPS growth of 7.55% suggest decent underlying progress, but its 5-year revenue growth is negative (-5.99%). In other words, this looks more like a utility that has stabilized and resumed growth rather than one in a long uninterrupted expansion cycle. --- #### 💰 Financial Health Check **One Sentence:** Think of it like a household with a very stable paycheck and a good history of paying bills, but also with a pretty large mortgage. | Metric | Value | Safe Zone | Assessment | |--------|-------|-----------|------------| | Debt Ratio | 173.9% debt-to-equity | <60% safe | ⚠️High | | Current Ratio | 0.92 | >1.5 healthy | ⚠️Tight | | Cash Flow | $5.63/share | >0 | ✅Positive | --- #### 🏷️ Is It Expensive Now? **Price Position (based on 52-week range):** - 52-Week Low: $41.71 - 52-Week High: $50.65 - Current: $43.91, Near the low | Position Range | Cheap Zone | Fair Zone | Pricey Zone | |----------------|------------|-----------|-------------| | Criteria | 0-33% | 33-66% | 66-100% | | **Current** | ●(25% position) | | | **Valuation Comparison:** | Comparison | Current | Reference | Assessment | |------------|---------|-----------|------------| | vs Own History | PE 16.23x | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | | vs Peers | PE 16.23x | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | **What the Current Valuation is Betting On:** > Basically, the current valuation is not pricing in dramatic upside. It looks like the market is betting Exelon can keep delivering stable earnings, maintain its dividend, and post modest regulated growth without any major balance-sheet or regulatory surprises. --- #### 📰 Any Recent News? | Date | Event | Impact | |------|-------|--------| | 2026-05-06 | Q1 2026 earnings beat estimates | Positive + EPS beat of 1.74% and revenue beat of 4.75% suggest execution remains solid | | 2026-04-28 | Declared quarterly dividend of $0.42/share | Positive + reinforces Exelon’s income appeal | | 2026-03-26 | Argus reiterated Buy and raised target to $52 | Positive + shows some analysts see upside if growth guidance holds | --- ### 📊 Layer 3: Want More? 3-Minute Complete Analysis #### I. Detailed Financial Data **Profitability Trends:** | Metric | This Year | Last Year | Year Before | 3-Year Trend | |--------|-----------|-----------|-------------|--------------| | Gross Margin | 40.43% | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | | Net Margin | 11.41% | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | | ROE | 9.87% | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | **Growth Trends:** | Metric | This Year | Last Year | Year Before | 3-Year Trend | |--------|-----------|-----------|-------------|--------------| | Revenue Growth | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | 3Y CAGR 8.34% | | Profit Growth | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | | EPS Growth | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | [Data unavailable] | 3Y CAGR 7.55% | --- #### II. Earnings Track Record **Last 4 Quarters vs Expectations:** | Quarter | EPS Expected | EPS Actual | Surprise | |---------|--------------|------------|----------| | 2026-03-31 | $0.89 | $0.91 | +1.74% Beat 😀 | | 2025-12-31 | $0.55 | $0.59 | +6.79% Beat 😀 | | 2025-09-30 | $0.78 | $0.86 | +9.61% Beat 😀 | | 2025-06-30 | $0.37 | $0.39 | +5.04% Beat 😀 | **Earnings Trend Interpretation:** Four straight beats are worth noting. For a utility, that usually signals disciplined operations rather than some flashy one-off jump, and it helps support confidence in near-term guidance. --- #### III. What the Market Thinks **Analyst Ratings:** | Rating | Count | Percentage | |--------|-------|------------| | Strong Buy/Buy | 7 firms | 25.9% | | Hold | 18 firms | 66.7% | | Sell | 2 firms | 7.4% | **Target Price:** [Data unavailable] ~ $52 (Median [Data unavailable]) **vs Current Price:** [Data unavailable] **Insider Activity:** Net buying via share awards/assignments in past 3 months > Worth noting: the reported insider transactions are coded as “A,” which often means awards or grants rather than open-market buying. So this is not as bullish a signal as executives personally buying shares with cash in the market. --- #### IV. Key Risk Alerts **3 Risks to Watch:** 1. **Leverage Risk:** Debt-to-equity of 1.74x and interest coverage of 2.55x → If financing costs stay high or rise further, earnings flexibility could tighten. 2. **Liquidity Risk:** Current ratio of 0.92 and quick ratio of 0.79 → If working capital needs rise unexpectedly, short-term balance-sheet pressure could increase. 3. **Regulatory Risk:** Exelon depends on regulated returns → If regulators are less favorable on rate cases, earnings growth could come in below expectations. --- ### 🎬 Summary & Next Steps > **📝 Three-Sentence Summary** > > **What it is:** Exelon is a large, regulated utility built more for stability and income than for explosive upside. > > **Key strength:** Its biggest advantage is predictable utility cash flow, backed by steady earnings execution and a nearly 3.8% dividend yield. > > **Key risk:** The main concern is leverage—this business can handle debt better than most industries, but the balance sheet is still the thing to watch. --- > **🔍 Want to Learn More?** > > • Want to know if this company has a strong moat? → Try【Buffett Mode】for deeper analysis > > • Want to check for hidden landmines? → Try【Muddy Mode】for risk screening > > • Is this a growth stock? Want to calculate if it's worth the bet? → Try【Musk Mode】for analysis